To Shorten Wars and Prevent Wider War The Biden Administration Should Lift Allies’ Conventional Strike Restrictions Against Iran’s and Russia’s Conventional Military Targets
October 4, 2024 Ukraine & Israel: Ukraine and Israel face common adversaries axially aligned. Russia and China enable Iran and its terror proxies with lethal supply and know-how to wage war against Israel. Russia and China could sanction Iran but do not. Iran, China, and North Korea likewise back Russia’s increasingly genocidal war of aggression…
Strategic Lens on China’s Economic Vicissitudes
Recent Economic Backdrop Appears as Organic Economic Downturn By Summer 2024, China’s economy had reportedly reached average GDP growth between 5.3% in Q1 and 4.7% in Q2 on course with meeting its 2024 goal of 5%. However, during Q3 China saw a dive in consumer spending, 17%-18% young urban unemployment, and more loan defaults by…
Strategy Essay: Zelensky’s Unmet Requests are Xi Jinping’s Political Capital for Invasion of Taiwan
Chinese leader Xi Jinping uses China’s manufacturing power to help Russia’s aggression against Ukraine not out of friendship for President Vladimir Putin, but because a Putin victory in Ukraine can help him ram through his imperial military agenda for Taiwan and the region. The U.S. and free allies, by their munitions and weapons supply to…
Essay: Xi Jinping Gambles on Putin’s Wars. China’s Jiang Zemin & Hu Jintao Did Not Need To
Xi Jinping has since allowed Putin to steer the Chinese Communist Party’s risk tolerance toward an investment black hole in Russian military adventures with no limits in sight. The Black Hole As one who cares for and feeds an addict, China is investing in and creating a heavier and heavier albatross for itself to carry…
U.S.-China Relations: Corrosive Effects of China’s National Intelligence Law
Thaw Sought: National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan has wrapped-up his August visit to China to try to find grounds for resolving gridlocked issues in U.S.-Chinese relations. One of those that may not have come up is China’s economically and geopolitically destabilizing 2017 National Intelligence Law (NIL17). Problem: NIL17 requires Chinese expats and citizens to aid…
A 2020 Telegraph of China’s Effort to Spy on Innovation Hubs
The People’s Republic of China in 2020 created a pretext for spying, influencing, and shaping global innovation hubs by initiating an annual Global Innovation Hubs Index (GIHI) ratings report through Tsinghua University’s Center for Industrial Development and Environmental Governance (CIDEG), joining its effort to the Nature Research brand by purchasing an article on Nature.com. To…
Russia’s and China’s Irregular Warfare Against Israel, Israelis, and Palestinians
Introduction Jonathan Winer’s must-read report for the Middle East Institute last November chronicled and discussed circumstantial evidence of timing, communications, training, modes of operation, financial, and weapons support by Russia for Hamas and for Iran, Hamas’s chief sponsor before and after the terror organization’s October 7, 2023 terror war on Israel. This, provoking a predictable…
Policymaker Pitch: Strategy of Attrition Will Backfire on the United States – Biden Administration Must Be Bold for Ukraine Now
The United States’ piecemeal weapons micromanagement of Ukrainian defense (no ATACMS against Russian military and military logistics inside Russia) suggests to allies that the goal is to weaken Russia via attrition, not expedite victory for Ukraine. Russia’s leadership does not care about attrition so long as they ultimately rule the…
Dictatorships Vie for Control of U.N.’s WIPO
The World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) is a likely vector for intelligence gathering by participants from China and Russia. Last week I noted a young, former Rostec executive (per his LinkedIn profile) working in Geneva, Switzerland apparently assigned to WIPO and more probably than not under pressure of the Putin…
House Obstruction Drives Risk of Long War, Lost Advantages
The Senate has passed a $95 billion dollar aid package for Ukraine and Israel but the Majority Leader in the U.S. House of Representatives, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) signaled that Republicans there will not pass it without the border security measures they want. However, a bi-partisan border security measure…